Wednesday, October 29, 2025
THE COST OF MONEY JUST GOT CHEAPER
The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark rate by 0.25 %, moving the fed funds target range to 3.75 %–4.00%. At the same time, it announced it will end the run-down of its balance sheet (quantitative tightening) starting December 1, meaning it will stop shrinking its holdings of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities.
The message: liquidity is being allowed to flow again — borrowing just got easier.
What’s Really Going On
Lower financing costs aren’t just a treatment for weak momentum — they’re a loosening of the leash.
Businesses that held off borrowing during tighter money might now go ahead and load up debt under the banner of “growth.”
Investors who rejected deals last month because the math didn’t stack up may bat those deals back into motion.
Consumers might think “why save when I can borrow?” — escalating consumption.
Risk assets rally, not because fundamentals changed, but because the price of money went down and risk feels less expensive.
In short: this is less a sign of strength, more a pivot to buy time.
When the champagne flows slowly, people don’t sense danger — they sense opportunity.
What This Means for “Normal Life”
Yes, borrowing costs are somewhat lower — but the impact is subtle, and the shadow side matters.
Credit-card rates remain high and won’t plunge overnight.
Auto-loan payments might ease a little, but we’re talking tens of dollars, not hundreds.
Mortgage rates don’t move in lockstep with the Fed’s rate cut; the benefit is indirect and delayed.
The biggest real-world effect is job-market support: the Fed is cutting because hiring is loosening and wages are softening.
Housing supply could improve if cheaper financing spurs builders and investors, which might relieve rent pressures further out.
Bottom line: It doesn’t make tomorrow effortless — it just lowers the odds that tomorrow gets significantly harder.
Don’t Treat This as a Victory Parade
Inflation remains above the Fed’s 2 % target. The labor market is cooling, not overheating. The Fed is cutting because the risks now skew toward a slowdown, not because everything is humming. The tone is caution, not celebration. But here’s the nuance: by lowering the cost of money and stopping balance-sheet shrinkage, the Fed is giving the financial system a gift — temporarily.
Need to Know for Builders, Operators, Investors
When the cost of money drops, it’s not about whether you borrow — it’s why you borrow and how you manage the risk.
Smart operators:
Borrow with a clear purpose, not because it “feels cheap.”
Do the math: debt only makes sense if cash flows are solid.
Guard your cash-flow like your business depends on it (because it does).
Rate cuts don’t create opportunity — they reveal who’s ready to act.
Everything = Everything.
g