Wednesday, October 29, 2025

THE COST OF MONEY JUST GOT CHEAPER

The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark rate by 0.25 %, moving the fed funds target range to 3.75 %–4.00%. At the same time, it announced it will end the run-down of its balance sheet (quantitative tightening) starting December 1, meaning it will stop shrinking its holdings of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities.

The message: liquidity is being allowed to flow again — borrowing just got easier.

What’s Really Going On

Lower financing costs aren’t just a treatment for weak momentum — they’re a loosening of the leash.

  • Businesses that held off borrowing during tighter money might now go ahead and load up debt under the banner of “growth.”

  • Investors who rejected deals last month because the math didn’t stack up may bat those deals back into motion.

  • Consumers might think “why save when I can borrow?” — escalating consumption.

  • Risk assets rally, not because fundamentals changed, but because the price of money went down and risk feels less expensive.

In short: this is less a sign of strength, more a pivot to buy time.


When the champagne flows slowly, people don’t sense danger — they sense opportunity.

What This Means for “Normal Life”

Yes, borrowing costs are somewhat lower — but the impact is subtle, and the shadow side matters.

  • Credit-card rates remain high and won’t plunge overnight.

  • Auto-loan payments might ease a little, but we’re talking tens of dollars, not hundreds.

  • Mortgage rates don’t move in lockstep with the Fed’s rate cut; the benefit is indirect and delayed.

  • The biggest real-world effect is job-market support: the Fed is cutting because hiring is loosening and wages are softening.

  • Housing supply could improve if cheaper financing spurs builders and investors, which might relieve rent pressures further out.

Bottom line: It doesn’t make tomorrow effortless — it just lowers the odds that tomorrow gets significantly harder.

Don’t Treat This as a Victory Parade

Inflation remains above the Fed’s 2 % target. The labor market is cooling, not overheating. The Fed is cutting because the risks now skew toward a slowdown, not because everything is humming. The tone is caution, not celebration. But here’s the nuance: by lowering the cost of money and stopping balance-sheet shrinkage, the Fed is giving the financial system a gift — temporarily.

Need to Know for Builders, Operators, Investors

When the cost of money drops, it’s not about whether you borrow — it’s why you borrow and how you manage the risk.

Smart operators:

  • Borrow with a clear purpose, not because it “feels cheap.”

  • Do the math: debt only makes sense if cash flows are solid.

  • Guard your cash-flow like your business depends on it (because it does).

Rate cuts don’t create opportunity — they reveal who’s ready to act.

Everything = Everything.

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